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Carbon · build estimate

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4050 g CO2e

published range: 1050 g – 65000 g — a single band spanning 62× (from 0.2591× to 16.03× the central figure — see Methodology below)

433335054 tokens counted — 1371594 output, 424928506 cache read, 7027478 cache write, 7476 fresh input

capturing since 2026-09-01

100% of counted tokens (433335054 of 433335054) were priced using the single shared default row, not a model-specific figure — see the "Where these figures came from" table below.

17.2 g CO2e (617674 tokens) of the total above is not attributed to any commit — work that produced no commit, not tokens that went missing. This is usage recorded before a branch's first commit-marker, or on a branch with no commits at all.

Accrued over time

2026-09-01: 1230 g 2026-09-02: 1800 g 2026-09-03: 632 g 2026-09-04: 50.3 g 2026-09-05: 198 g 2026-09-07: 146 g

Per session

SessionBranchModelOutputCache readCache writeInputCO2e
2c94bfbd-1bec-47b4-897c-73fd121fff18 feat/editor-chrome claude-opus-5 278666 101876487 1921781 588 983 g
f815502d-f286-4dfd-b1b4-85350fdffc08 feat/xlsx-drop-import claude-opus-5 183939 76501943 1196757 578 710 g
5c1c4263-c361-4ce0-854d-5b4873fa2e30 feat/list-chrome claude-opus-5 174915 49138556 1009150 588 490 g
b0c2ce68-caa9-4b4c-b618-0f3f336f01cb design-fixes claude-opus-5 89531 57407669 171638 364 456 g
4cb11af1-7d7f-4c9b-928f-3b7787c03fb6 feat/table-formatting claude-opus-5 154600 43674176 226332 226 374 g
a066678d-b832-472e-8c2d-f1165b67acda fix/link-mint-failure-not-role claude-opus-5 103429 32954412 683643 390 326 g
e2cc9163-61af-4161-828a-b77ea1500a39 worktree-dark-selection claude-opus-5 93471 24014806 540921 314 246 g
55528538-1178-4b9b-923f-49a4083f3d97 worktree-list-chrome-rebase claude-opus-5 71650 21492287 274589 306 198 g
aa9e75b3-42dc-4311-8286-65350f750d67 domain/oficina-works claude-opus-5 88584 11463085 235845 100 124 g
9292c755-3cc1-4557-8539-a1d21d6ad04e fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 22981 1355652 110923 610 25.0 g
36302db3-8c5d-429b-941f-f904ff4a2d65 fix/reconcile-deployed-chrome claude-fable-5-1 17089 910474 92617 514 18.8 g
0a10fdf4-fc0a-406e-9855-005bd758362c feat/atomic-cell-batch claude-fable-5-1 13302 486543 117571 258 17.2 g
aa29410f-1378-4468-83b1-a15b2c3b9cee fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 14252 534642 80901 322 14.4 g
02df56b0-6d4f-472a-99ed-102e3929a570 test/canary-session-fixture claude-fable-5-1 14873 539198 76273 354 14.1 g
2fb23927-b781-4d1b-a1ce-c532f9017f5e fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 10772 702529 62153 482 13.2 g
9b81675f-1b06-4479-89c5-16578c36edb8 test/canary-session-fixture claude-fable-5-1 9847 797336 55649 546 13.1 g
00e4bc1e-f078-479a-b580-bcb1b3eb153d fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 9703 277586 58279 194 9.44 g
7fbd0ae6-9bd4-41a8-9d0e-e00161e90089 fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 7852 303428 45058 226 8.03 g
e098b8e7-f522-444c-bb09-6a4b55249b6b test/canary-session-fixture claude-fable-5-1 6817 323683 29478 322 6.54 g
ed8c7acb-2268-46ec-9378-33af21ff6ad0 fix/durable-tab-versions claude-fable-5-1 5321 174014 37920 194 5.89 g

Factor table v1 · 2026-08-30

This figure is produced by factor table v1 (published 2026-08-30). It assumes a grid intensity of roughly 350 g CO2e/kWh and is never rendered at its source constant's full precision — that precision exists for traceability against the cited source, not because the grid intensity is known that exactly.

Where these figures came from

ModelRow usedCitation
claude-fable-5-1 default (fallback) Energy: Epoch AI, Josh You, "How much energy does ChatGPT use?", 2025-02-07 (https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/how-much-energy-does-chatgpt-use) — 0.3 Wh for a typical GPT-4o query of 500 output tokens, and, in the appendix, 2.4 Wh for 10,000 input plus 500 output tokens. Take the appendix figure, not the 2.5 Wh the body quotes first and twice: the body states no output-token count, so only the appendix figure can be differenced against the 500-output-token baseline to isolate the input cost. Cache classes: no published energy study separates cached from fresh input, so these use Anthropic's published price multipliers as a proxy — cache read 0.1x and 5-minute cache write 1.25x base input price (Anthropic, "Pricing", https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Corroboration that the low end of the band is not absurd, though not the bound itself: Vartziotis et al., "From Tokens to Watt-hours", arXiv:2607.26571, Table 3 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.26571) gives 218.400 mJ per output token for Llama 3.3 70B = 60.7 Wh/Mtok, about a tenth of the figure above — but that model is accelerator-only, excluding cooling, host, networking, storage and PUE, so it bounds GPU silicon rather than the delivered CO2e this page publishes. Grid: US EPA, eGRID2023 Summary Data (https://www.epa.gov/egrid/summary-data).
claude-opus-5 default (fallback) Energy: Epoch AI, Josh You, "How much energy does ChatGPT use?", 2025-02-07 (https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/how-much-energy-does-chatgpt-use) — 0.3 Wh for a typical GPT-4o query of 500 output tokens, and, in the appendix, 2.4 Wh for 10,000 input plus 500 output tokens. Take the appendix figure, not the 2.5 Wh the body quotes first and twice: the body states no output-token count, so only the appendix figure can be differenced against the 500-output-token baseline to isolate the input cost. Cache classes: no published energy study separates cached from fresh input, so these use Anthropic's published price multipliers as a proxy — cache read 0.1x and 5-minute cache write 1.25x base input price (Anthropic, "Pricing", https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Corroboration that the low end of the band is not absurd, though not the bound itself: Vartziotis et al., "From Tokens to Watt-hours", arXiv:2607.26571, Table 3 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.26571) gives 218.400 mJ per output token for Llama 3.3 70B = 60.7 Wh/Mtok, about a tenth of the figure above — but that model is accelerator-only, excluding cooling, host, networking, storage and PUE, so it bounds GPU silicon rather than the delivered CO2e this page publishes. Grid: US EPA, eGRID2023 Summary Data (https://www.epa.gov/egrid/summary-data).

Methodology

Grams are derived, not asserted, from two separately-arguable unknowns: watt-hours per million tokens per token class (energy), and grams CO2e per kWh for the grid inference is assumed to run on (grid) — grams = (Wh / 1000) × grid.

The published range (1050 g – 65000 g) is one multiplicative band applied to the total, built from two sources answering the same question at each end: the energy term uses Epoch AI's own stated 0.1–4 Wh uncertainty around its 0.3 Wh baseline query; the grid term uses the EPA eGRID2023 subregions that actually host large cloud/inference capacity — RFCE (Northern Virginia / PJM East, the cleaner end) through MROW (Upper Midwest, the dirtier end) — rather than every eGRID subregion that exists.

The result spans a factor of 62×. That is narrower than the mixed-criteria alternative it replaces, which is not why it was chosen: it is the only span where both ends answer the same question, and the ruling would stand if consistency had widened it instead.

That envelope is an assumption about where inference runs, and it is the assumption a reader is most likely to want to reject. It has a real, named failure mode: inference actually running on a grid dirtier than MROW or cleaner than RFCE puts the true figure outside the published band entirely. The band is a stated assumption, not a guarantee.

Nor is the central figure itself conservative. The "floor" language elsewhere on this page is a claim about token coverage — tokens this page cannot see are missing, never double-counted — not a claim about these factors. The factors lean high in several places at once: the grid figure is the US national average against the roughly 272–288 g/kWh where inference actually runs (RFCE 271.8, NWPP 288.2 — the same eGRID2023 table cited above), all of a baseline query's energy is attributed to its output tokens, and cache writes are priced at 1.25× base input price — a proxy for renting five minutes of KV cache residency, not for the compute a cache write performs. A figure that is high on factors and low on coverage is not a bound in either direction.

What this number excludes

Every one of these undercounts except the bookmark-regression case above — so on token coverage, this figure is a floor far more often than a ceiling. That is a separate claim from the factor bias described in Methodology, and neither one cancels the other.